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Pourjafari, Morteza, Alamdari, Mohammad Saeed, Etesami, Reza. (1404). Simulation of Defense Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Using Wargaming Scenarios: Analysis and Evaluation. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 2(5), 107-131.
Morteza Pourjafari; Mohammad Saeed Alamdari; Reza Etesami. "Simulation of Defense Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Using Wargaming Scenarios: Analysis and Evaluation". سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 2, 5, 1404, 107-131.
Pourjafari, Morteza, Alamdari, Mohammad Saeed, Etesami, Reza. (1404). 'Simulation of Defense Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Using Wargaming Scenarios: Analysis and Evaluation', سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 2(5), pp. 107-131.
Pourjafari, Morteza, Alamdari, Mohammad Saeed, Etesami, Reza. Simulation of Defense Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Using Wargaming Scenarios: Analysis and Evaluation. سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی, 1404; 2(5): 107-131.

Simulation of Defense Supply Chain Resilience Strategies Using Wargaming Scenarios: Analysis and Evaluation

strategic Discourse Quarterly
دوره 2، شماره 5، آبان 2025، صفحه 107-131    اصل مقاله (559.43 K)
نویسندگان
Morteza Pourjafari1؛ Mohammad Saeed Alamdari2؛ Reza Etesami3
1Ph.D. in Strategic Defense Sciences – Research Institute of Logistics, Defense Technology and Emerging Fields – Supreme National Defense University – Tehran, Iran
2Ph.D. in Mathematics – Research Institute of Logistics, Defense Technology and Emerging Fields – Supreme National Defense University – Tehran, Iran
3Ph.D. Candidate – Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science – Shahid Baher University of Ahvaz – Kerman, Iran
چکیده
The resilience of the defense supply chain, as one of the key factors in safeguarding national security and sustaining the operational capability of armed forces, is of paramount importance. Given the wide range of threats faced by defense supply chains, this study examines and evaluates the resilience of the defense supply chain through simulation and wargaming scenarios. In this research, the R software and the Simmer simulation tool were employed to model the defense supply chain, encompassing suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses, and transportation. Various scenarios—including cyberattacks, logistics delays, equipment failures, physical threats, natural crises, economic sanctions, and sudden changes in demand—were defined and simulated in order to assess the resilience of the chain. The simulation results indicate that economic sanctions exert the most significant impact on the resilience of the defense supply chain and can seriously disrupt the procurement of raw materials and critical components. Equipment failures and logistics delays were also identified as major threats that could reduce efficiency and cause disruptions in supply chain processes. Other threats, such as cyberattacks and physical threats, were found to be significant due to their indirect effects on the infrastructure and operations of the supply chain. This study demonstrates that through the adoption of targeted strategies—such as diversification of supply sources, optimization of transportation routes, strengthening of cybersecurity infrastructure, and preventive equipment maintenance—the resilience of the defense supply chain can be considerably enhanced, thereby mitigating the destructive consequences of critical threats. The findings can assist decision-makers in adopting effective policies and strategies aimed at improving the resilience of defense supply chains.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Defense Supply Chain؛ Resilience؛ Wargaming؛ Simulation؛ Logistics Processes
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